Risk
For 11 US regionals, capital adequacy hinges on AOCI waiver
A repeal of the 2019 provision would hit KeyCorp and Charles Schwab the most
Lending via Fed’s BTFP overtakes discount window
Emergency facility extended $79bn last week, $10bn more than central bank’s traditional credit lending tool
First Republic burned through short-term investments in 2022
Cash and securities maturing within a year went from over- to undermatching short-term funding liabilities
The Catch-22 of US banks’ liquidity buffers
US banks are using held-to-maturity bonds to underpin liquidity adequacy, grating against accounting guidance. What happens if they’re forced to sell?
Initial margin at OCC declined over Q4
Calmer markets triggered downward revision as requirements drop $30bn
US banks vulnerable to losses if HTM securities need to be sold
Overall mark-to-market value $300bn lower than amortised cost across 30 banks
Revealed: where banks are (literally) warehousing their swaps
As derivatives notional grows, dealers experiment with novel storage solutions
A theory for combinations of risk measures
This paper investigates combinations of risk measures under no restrictive assumption on the set of alternatives, obtaining results regarding the preservation of properties and acceptance sets for these combinations of risk measures.
First Citizens closer to tighter rules after SVB deal
With assets more than doubling to $219bn, acquisitive bank flirts with category III designation
ING’s Russia loans sour five times faster than UniCredit’s
Risk density of Dutch bank’s Russia portfolio soars from 54% to 229% during 2022
HTM securities hit $2.5trn at US banks in 2022
BofA, First Foundation and Wells Fargo reported largest share of HTM to total securities behind SVB
Before collapse, Credit Suisse projected lowest cash outflows since 2018
Customers were expected to withdraw just $91bn in a 30-day stress period despite heavy outflows going into 2023
Credit Suisse’s funding disclosures raise questions
The bank reported $141 billion of “other exposures” in NSFR at the end of 2022
At regional US banks, BTFP-eligible securities top $300bn
Assets classified as held-to-maturity made up less than 19% of aggregate securities portfolios in 2022
UBS takeover of Credit Suisse to trigger higher G-Sib surcharge
At 14.2%, UBS’s CET1 capital ratio is more than sufficient to absorb the deal
First Republic had just $11bn eligible for Fed’s new facility
The bank held nearly $20bn of municipal bonds, representing over 60% of its securities portfolio
Managerial connections and corporate risk-taking: evidence from the Great Recession
Using the the 2007-9 Great Recession as an example, the authors investigate the relationship between managers’ connections, corporate risk-taking and corporate performance during a period of crisis.
US regional banks hold smaller proportion of high quality assets
Share of Level 1 assets at Capital One, Truist, US Bancorp lowest across US banks subject to LCR
A risk-based internal audit methodology for Greek local government organizations
The authors propose a methodology for evaluating possible risks when preparing an audit plan in Greek municipalities, with applicability beyond this area.
At US banks, less than 50% of liquid assets classified as AFS
Goldman Sachs reported smallest proportion relative to HQLAs across US banks subject to LCR
Like SVB, five other US lenders saw negative NII growth in 2022
Ally, Customers, First Foundation, Morgan Stanley and PacWest were pressured by rising rates
Ahead of collapse, SVB’s interest expense climbed 1,700%
Lending income failed to keep pace with higher deposit costs as Fed reshaped rates environment
Soft inflation print triggers initial margin breaches at FICC
Clearing units for MBSs and government securities hit by backtesting deficiencies as coverage levels dip
Small banks set for 2% capital reduction under Basel III
Lower leverage ratio requirements expected to offset Tier 1 capital increases for credit risk and output floor