Risk.net

2008 a turning point for credit cycle – Moody’s

The global corporate default rate reached its lowest level in two decades at the end of 2007. But rating agency Moody’s expects a “sharp rise” in 2008.

In its monthly default report, Moody’s said the global speculative-grade default rate among corporates was at 0.9% in December 2007. This was down from 1.7% in December 2006 and its lowest level since December 1981.

Speculative-grade defaults in the US were also down to 0.9% by December 2007, from 1.7% a year earlier. In Europe, the rate fell to