Donald Trump
FX options traders rethink vol drivers amid macro uncertainty
Market-makers believe more and more events will influence options pricing as political risk bubbles up during 2024
Quarles calls for SLR ‘recalibration’ to support Treasuries
Former vice-chair says leverage ratio gold plate was based on flawed projections of Fed reserves
Top 10 operational risks for 2022
The biggest op risks for the year ahead, as chosen by senior industry practitioners
Haitong set for warrants wins as China sanctions hit US banks
China securities firm doubles HKEX warrant output as US banks pull listed products on vetoed names
Why the US election fallout was not a surprise to banks
A contested result was unexpected, but scenario planning meant banks weren’t unprepared
Big moves, but no panic after tumultuous US election
Treasury market saw its largest post-election move since at least 2000 – but liquidity held up
US election scenarios: meltdown fears if poll contested
Crowdsourced election scenarios show sharp falls and correlation breaks if Trump challenges results
Stuart Lewis, Deutsche’s survivor, confronts Covid-19
CRO talks loan reserves, VAR breaches, and the lessons of a lurid past
Top 10 op risks 2020: geopolitical risk
Nationalism, trade wars and epidemics make for a heady cocktail
In the US, it’s an even ‘tougher legacy’ for Libor
A legislative solution for cash products is in the works, but lawyers say it raises constitutional issues
Engle: rise in geopolitical risks may be overestimated
Risk USA: Nobel laureate’s new ‘Geovol’ model suggests geopolitical risk no higher than during past 20 years
Politicians must heal a fractured UK society
Political journalist Robert Peston has grave concerns over the future of Britain, seeing profound risks with or without Brexit
US-China trade war becomes focus again for commodities
As the end of the 90-day truce in US-China trade hostilities looms, commodity markets brace for uncertainty
Credit data: how US industries have fared under Trump
At the halfway point in the administration, time for a credit check, writes David Carruthers
How to stress-test portfolios for Brexit and trade wars
Options markets point to likely market moves in different scenarios, write StatPro risk specialists
Trade finance under new stress as commodity markets realign
Higher tariffs, sanctions and Brexit are leading to a reassessment of trade finance arrangements
No fast buck for global banks moving into China
New entrants must not think majority stake in JV will pay immediate dividends
‘Trump digs coal’ – but is that enough?
Are Trump's efforts to support US coal levelling the playing field for fuel sources, or flogging a dead horse?
Credit data: Trump tax cuts have not hurt US states
Tax package is double-edged sword for US states, but credit has strengthened over past year
If regulations don’t bend, they’ll break
Financial regulation should be adaptive, not reactive, argues Andrew Lo
Softened liquidity rule would still be ‘misguided’
Treasury proposals welcome, firms say, but watered-down SEC rule would leave risks unaddressed