Applied risk management series: Integrating stress tests with risk management

Risk managers at energy trading firms rely on a set of scenario-based ‘at-risk' metrics, such as value-at-risk or earnings-at-risk, to manage the risk profile of their organisations. These metrics reflect hypothetical market scenarios or possible states of the world, but they are often generated using assumptions of ‘normal' market behaviour, which do not fully capture risk under extreme market conditions. As a result, traditional risk management ends up focusing too much on day-to-day tactical