Journal of Risk Model Validation

Risk.net

New historical bootstrap value-at-risk model

Nikola Radivojević, Zorana Sobat-Matic and Borjana B. Mirjanic

In this paper, the authors present a new value-at-risk (VaR) model for the estimation of market risk in banks and other financial institutions. The model is labeled a new historical bootstrap VaR model, since it shares the same theoretical basis as the historical simulation (HS) and bootstrap approaches. This paper aims to answer the question of whether incorporating the bootstrap method into the HS model contributes to improving the applicability of the HS approach in terms of meeting the backtesting rules of the Basel Accord. In order to obtain an answer to this question, we test the applicability and compare the performances of the HS500 and the autoregressive moving average–generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity–BootstrapHS500 (ARMA–GARCH–BootstrapHS500) models on the capital markets of Serbia, Croatia,Greece, Spain, Germany, Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Romania and Hungary.The results of our research show that the new model performed better than the HS model. Thus, we can conclude that incorporating the bootstrap approach into the HS approach contributes to improving the applicability of the HS approach.
 

Sorry, our subscription options are not loading right now

Please try again later. Get in touch with our customer services team if this issue persists.

New to Risk.net? View our subscription options

You need to sign in to use this feature. If you don’t have a Risk.net account, please register for a trial.

Sign in
You are currently on corporate access.

To use this feature you will need an individual account. If you have one already please sign in.

Sign in.

Alternatively you can request an individual account here